Open Heart
● BMJ
Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Open Heart's content profile, based on 21 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.04% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Barbosa-Balaguera, S.; Castano, O.; Echeverry, E. J.; Llano, C. D. M.; Muriel Ruiz, A. J.; Diaz, J. B.; Cordoba, A. M. T.; Ayala-Zapata, S.; Velasquez-Trujillo, L. A.; Escandon, A. H.
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Background Cardiac amyloidosis is an increasingly recognized cause of heart failure in older adults, yet Colombian data, and data from the southwest of the country in particular, remain scarce. We describe the clinical, diagnostic, imaging and outcome profile of patients with cardiac amyloidosis at two high-complexity institutions in Cali. Methods Observational, descriptive, retrospective, two-center study. Patients were identified in the institutional registries of both centers using ICD-10 codes for amyloidosis, and clinical data were abstracted manually from medical records. Continuous variables are reported as median (interquartile range) and categorical variables as counts and percentages over the number of patients with available data. Results Thirty-two patients were analyzed (median age 77 years; 68.8% men). Heart failure (90.6%), atrial fibrillation (46.9%) and carpal tunnel syndrome (31.2%) were frequent. The etiological classification depended on the test considered: bone scintigraphy was positive (Perugini 2-3) in 23 of 26 patients studied (88.5%), but a monoclonal protein was screened for in only 22, and the full non-invasive criteria for ATTR were met in 16 of 32 (50.0%). Genetic testing was positive in 9 of 18 tested, and the variant was Val142Ile in all 8 patients in whom it was characterized. The working diagnosis was ATTR in 26 patients (81.2%) and AL in 6 (18.8%). Tafamidis was used in 37.5%. Eleven of the 31 patients with known vital status died (35.5%), and NT-proBNP was markedly higher among those who died (6640 vs 1186 pg/mL; p=0.003). Conclusions In this southwestern Colombian cohort, cardiac amyloidosis presented as the classic transthyretin phenotype, with the Val142Ile variant in all 8 patients in whom it was characterized. Bone scintigraphy was frequently positive, but screening for a monoclonal protein was often omitted, so only half the cohort met the full non-invasive criteria for ATTR. Mortality was high and closely associated with NT-proBNP.
Nedunuri, R.; Hashemzadeh, M.; Movahed, M. R.
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Background: CPR is the primary intervention for cardiac arrest, and the mortality trends before and after the pandemic remain are not fully understood. Methods: This cross-sectional study used the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database from 2016-2022 and International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) codes to evaluate the mortality trend for adult patients undergoing CPR after in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA). Primary exposures were calendar year, demographics, socioeconomic factors, and hospital characteristics. Multivariable weighted logistic regression was performed to identify predictors of mortality after CPR for IHCA. Results: Among 612,930 weighted adult hospitalizations undergoing CPR for IHCA between 2016 and 2022, overall in-hospital mortality was 67.8%. Risk-adjusted mortality declined through 2019 before increasing sharply during the COVID-19 pandemic, peaking in 2021 and remaining above pre-pandemic levels in 2022. Compared with 2016, admission in 2020 (aOR 1.18, 95% CI 1.12-1.25; p<0.001) and 2021 (aOR 1.26, 95% CI 1.19-1.33; p<0.001) was independently associated with higher mortality, whereas admission in 2019 was associated with lower mortality (aOR 0.89, 95% CI 0.84-0.95; p<0.001). Higher mortality was also associated with increasing age (aOR 1.01 per year; p<0.001), female sex (aOR 1.05, 95% CI 1.02-1.08; p<0.001), Black (aOR 1.14, 95% CI 1.10-1.18; p<0.001) and Hispanic race/ethnicity (aOR 1.20, 95% CI 1.15-1.26; p<0.001), and self-pay insurance (aOR 1.62, 95% CI 1.51-1.74; p<0.001). Protective factors included private insurance (aOR 0.91, 95% CI 0.87-0.94; p<0.001), residence in the highest income quartile (aOR 0.91, 95% CI 0.87-0.94; p<0.001), and treatment at private, non-profit hospitals (aOR 0.89, 95% CI 0.85-0.94; p<0.001). Conclusion: This large nationwide patient database analysis demonstrates that mortality following CPR for IHCA declined before the COVID-19 pandemic but increased during 2020, remaining above pre-pandemic levels through 2022. Independent predictors of mortality reveal socioeconomic disparities in mortality outcomes.
Leong, C. S.; Kabir, A.; Barr, M. L.
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Abstract Background: Heart failure (HF) is a major public health challenge in ageing populations and a leading cause of unplanned hospital readmissions. Biological, social, and economic factors contribute to recurrent hospitalisation, but gaps remain in understanding how these factors interact and patterns of healthcare use following hospitalisation. Methods: We conducted an explanatory sequential mixed-methods study of patients aged ?60 years with an HF hospital admission between 2016 and 2020 who completed the Sax Institute?s 45 and Up Study baseline questionnaire. Data were linked to Admitted Patient Data Collection, Medicare Benefits Schedule, and Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme data. HF readmission within 30 days of the index admission was the outcome. Cox proportional hazards models estimated crude and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs and adjHRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests compared survival between groups. Time-series plots mapped healthcare interactions over 1 year following the index admission. Results: Among 4,252 patients with HF, 409 were readmitted within 30 days. Significant predictors included age ?80 years (adjHR, 1.30; 95%CI, 1.01?1.67), 1 chronic condition (adjHR, 2.49; 95%CI, 1.41?4.40), ?2 chronic conditions (adjHR, 1.75; 95%CI, 1.04?2.95), and alcohol consumption above national guidelines (adjHR, 1.45; 95%CI, 1.06?1.98). Time-series analysis indicated that participants with readmission had more frequent out-of-hospital health service contact following their initial HF admission than those without readmission. Conclusions: Older age, chronic conditions, and high alcohol intake increased 30-day HF readmission risk. Differences in healthcare use after admission highlight opportunities for targeted and coordinated post-discharge care.
Singh, J.; Feeney, A.; Teh, J. W.; Mannion, E.; Murphy, R.; Coen, E.; Sharif, F.; Judge, C.
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Introduction. Whether the arterial pressure waveform carries structural vascular information that brachial pressure does not, and whether its shape can be read from facial video, are both uncertain, and recording a continuous pressure reference with synchronised video in a hypertension clinic has not been reported. We sought to determine whether continuous finger arterial pressure recording with synchronised facial video, linked to existing coronary calcium imaging, is feasible in adults attending a hypertension clinic, whether a consumer camera recovers heart rate and pulse shape in that setting, and to generate exploratory estimates of association between waveform morphology and coronary calcium. Methods. BP-WAVE is a single-site prospective observational pilot study. The primary outcome was feasibility, pre-specified as recruitment, consent, completeness of waveform recording, imaging availability and data completeness. Secondary outcomes were waveform quality, device agreement, feature extraction, and recovery of heart rate and pulse shape from video. The exploratory outcome was the Spearman correlation of 14 waveform features with the Agatston calcium score, with exact permutation p values adjusted within each family of tests. Results. Nine of ten planned participants were recorded over 12 days (median age 55 years, range 40 to 74; five women); all nine completed the recording with video and had a calcium score (median 351, range 33 to 1816). Of 4,178 detected beats, 2,965 (71%) passed quality control. Video recovered heart rate within 0.4 to 4.1 beats per minute in eight of nine participants and pulse shape above a phase-randomised noise bound in six of nine (held-out r 0.48 to 0.76). Form factor had the strongest correlation with calcium (rho -0.68, exact p 0.050, q 0.68); no feature was associated with calcium after Benjamini-Hochberg adjustment within any of the nine families of 14 tests (126 tests in all; smallest q 0.17). Conclusion. In this single-site pilot of nine adults from a hypertension clinic, continuous finger arterial pressure recording with synchronised facial video and linkage to coronary calcium was feasible, a consumer camera recovered heart rate in eight and pulse shape in six participants, and no waveform feature was associated with coronary calcium after correction for multiple testing.
Chow, C.; Gunzburger, E.; Wilson, C.; Salahuddin, T.; Hess, P. L.; Essien, U.; Rodriguez, F.; Yang, K.-C.; Ziaeian, B.; Doll, J. A.
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Background: Multiple performance measures are used to assess the management of common cardiovascular conditions, such as coronary artery disease (CAD), heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), and atrial fibrillation (AF). These measures are sometimes used to assess individual clinicians, despite lack of evidence of reliability and accuracy. We used national Veteran Affairs (VA) data to test medication-based performance measures for assessment of clinician performance in outpatient cardiology care. Methods: This retrospective study examined VA cardiology clinician/Veteran dyads from 2017-2023 to evaluate 10 medication-based performance measures for CAD, HFrEF, or AF with elevated stroke risk. Achievement of each performance measure was defined as an active prescription of an indicated medication for each eligible patient encounter, summarized at the clinician level. Reliability was calculated using the beta-binomial method. A Bayesian causal model was used to assess the impact of case complexity on performance measure achievement. Finally, we performed peer review of a subset of cases (n=952) to assess the accuracy of three representative performance measures. Results: Of 456,071 unique cardiology encounters, 312,331 included CAD, 224,599 included HFrEF, and 178,678 included AF. These patients were treated by 1,043 cardiology clinicians. Median performance measure achievement ranged from 0.23 (SGLT2i for HFrEF) to 0.99 (beta blocker for HFrEF). Measure reliability varied from 0.63 to 0.90. Case complexity did not significantly affect performance measure achievement. Using peer review as the gold standard, accuracy was poor to moderate (balanced accuracy 0.51-0.73), and measures underestimated performance relative to peer review. Conclusions: Ten medication-based performance measures for CAD, HFrEF, and AF can be efficiently measured using electronic health record data, and most have sufficient reliability to support clinician benchmarking and the identification of potential care gaps. However, suboptimal accuracy compared with a peer review indicates that these measures may be insufficient as a standalone assessment of clinician quality.
LeBlanc, D. P.; Qadeer, A.; Krishna, S. R. G.; Forrester, A.; Patel, A.; Shi, D.; Nagueh, E.; Hsu, J.; Bhobe, N.; Gaalema, D. E.; McKeith, J.; Jneid, H.; Allencherril, J.
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Background: Cardiovascular (CV) screening is critical for personnel deploying to Antarctica, where geographic isolation and limited medical care make the management of acute cardiovascular events challenging. The utility of contemporary risk prediction tools such as the AHA PREVENT equations in this unique population remains uncertain. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 154 individuals referred for enhanced CV evaluation before deployment to the U.S. Antarctic Program (USAP). Participants were evaluated across three temporal cohorts (2018-2020, 2021-2023, and 2024-2026). Demographics, CV risk factors, cardiac testing, and deployment clearance outcomes were collected. Risk was estimated using the Framingham Risk Score (FRS), AHA/ACC Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE), and AHA PREVENT risk models. Results: The cohort was predominantly male (79.9%; mean age 44.6 {+/-} 14.6 years), and abnormal ECG was the most common referral trigger (70.8%). Median 10-year risk was low by PREVENT and FRS and borderline elevated by PCE (PREVENT 2.7% [IQR 1.1-6.6], FRS 2.3% [IQR 0.5-7.1], and PCE 6.1% [IQR 2.4-9.2]). Among 72 participants with all scores, 51% were classified discordantly; PREVENT ASCVD agreed closely with FRS (=0.77) but poorly with PCE (=0.24-0.35), which consistently estimated higher risk. PCE was calculable in 52.6% versus 70.8% for PREVENT. Overall, 132 participants (85.7%) were cleared for deployment, while 8 (5.2%) were not physically qualified (NPQ); 6 of these NPQs were due to cardiovascular causes. Of 22 cardiac medical evacuations during the study period, 21 involved individuals without prior advanced cardiovascular screening. One screened individual was evacuated for symptoms subsequently found to have no cardiac cause. Conclusions: Risk calculators disagree substantially in the fitness-selected population. We recommend PREVENT as the primary risk-stratification tool as it is the most contemporary derivation, incorporates renal function, is race-agnostic, extends to heart failure, applies from age 30, and agrees closely with FRS, easing transition. Targeted imaging, including coronary artery calcium scoring, may supplement intermediate-risk candidates.
Hausknecht, K.; Mayr, M.; Breidthardt, T.; Burkard, T.; Vischer, A. S.
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Background: Elevated blood pressure (BP) is common during hospitalization. Despite recommendations to avoid routine changes in antihypertensive therapy, clinical practice remains variable. Prospective data on whether elevated in-hospital BP identifies patients with hypertension after discharge are limited. Methods: Adults hospitalized for non-cardiac conditions with asymptomatic routine in-hospital BP ?140 and/or ?90 mmHg on at least two occasions separated by ?24 hours were prospectively enrolled. Antihypertensive therapy was managed at the discretion of treating physicians. Routine in-hospital BP, standardized research BP, and changes in antihypertensive therapy were recorded. Four weeks after discharge, participants underwent 24-hour ambulatory BP monitoring (ABPM). Results: Among 50 participants, 42 (84%; 95% CI, 70.9 ? 92.8) had hypertension on follow-up ABPM. Among 21 participants without known hypertension, 18 (86%) had previously unrecognized hypertension on follow-up ABPM; among 29 participants with known hypertension, 24 (83%) had uncontrolled hypertension. Antihypertensive therapy was changed during hospitalization in 26 participants (52%), with de-escalation more frequent than intensification. Hypertension on follow-up ABPM was present in 88.5% of participants with and 79.2% without in-hospital therapy changes. Standardized research BP, but not routine in-hospital BP, correlated with follow-up ABPM. Conclusion: Asymptomatic elevated routine in-hospital BP identified a population with a high prevalence of hypertension four weeks after discharge, including patients with and without previously diagnosed hypertension. These findings support structured post-discharge BP reassessment rather than assuming that elevated in-hospital BP is transient. URL: www.ClinicalTrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT06132451
Hasan, I.; Jafary, Z. I.; Rana, S.; Thyagaturu, H.
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Background: Myocardial infarction (MI) and heart failure (HF) impose a physical and emotional toll that has not been measured nationally with a standard instrument. Methods: We pooled the 2019 to 2024 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey into 4 mutually exclusive groups of adults aged 18 and older: MI without HF, HF without MI, both conditions, and neither condition. Quality of life was assessed with the Veterans RAND 12-item component summaries, T scores (mean 50, SD 10) on which higher is better and 3 points is minimally important. Survey-weighted linear regression adjusted for demographics, socioeconomic factors, and comorbidity. Results: Among 79,853 adults representing 253.8 million US adults, 4.2% (3,340) had MI alone, 0.6% (480) HF alone, and 0.3% (236) both. Unadjusted physical scores ranged from 33.2 with HF alone to 39.1 with MI alone, versus 50.5 with neither. Adjusted physical scores were lower by 3.84 points (95% CI, 3.20-4.47) with MI alone, 8.32 (95% CI, 7.04-9.61) with HF alone, and 7.74 (95% CI, 5.73-9.76) with both, each beyond the minimally important threshold. Adjusted mental scores were lower by 1.35 points with MI alone, 1.20 with HF alone, and 1.69 with both, all below that threshold. Adults with both conditions did not differ from those with HF alone (0.58 points; 95% CI, -1.76 to 2.92). Emergency visits, inpatient discharges, and expenditure were higher in every cardiac group and highest with both conditions, where annual expenditure reached $37,198 versus $7,845 with neither. Conclusions: Physical quality of life fell steadily across the cardiac groups, with HF rather than prior MI accounting for most of it. The difference in mental quality of life did not persist after adjustment. Utilization and spending were highest with both conditions.
Shaun, B.; Movahed, M. R.; Hashemzadeh, M.; Hashemzadeh, M.
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Condensed Abstract: Using the 2016?2022 National Inpatient Sample, this study evaluated temporal trends and demographic adoption patterns of percutaneous left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO). Among 190,020 weighted procedures, annual volume increased from 4,875 to 60,445. In-hospital mortality was exceptionally low (0.1%). Age-adjusted procedural rates rose from 34.19 to 379.87 per 100,000 population. However, significant disparities persisted, characterized by heavy centralization in urban teaching hospitals (87.0%) and disproportionately lower absolute age-adjusted utilization among female, Black, Hispanic, and Asian/Pacific Islander patients compared to male and White cohorts. Targeted initiatives are needed to ensure equitable access to structural heart interventions.
Bews, H.; tam, j.; Quan, S.; Dolovich, C.; Whalen, K.; Beaudry, S.-J.; Butterworth, S.; Southam, A.; Pilkey, J.
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Background: Patients with heart failure (HF) experience high mortality, yet survival estimates remain challenging. Available prognostic tools commonly predict survival beyond 1-year, limiting goals of care discussions and enrollment on palliative care programs. The objective of this project was to develop a novel prognostic score to better predict 6-month mortality. Methods: Patients with HF admitted to the St. Boniface Hospital (Winnipeg, Canada) between January 1, 2019 and January 1, 2024 were identified. Patient characteristics, imaging parameters, laboratory values, and functional assessments (Palliative Performance Scale; PPSv2) were collected. Patients were randomly divided into development (80%) and validation (20%) cohorts. Penalized LASSO regression was used to select variables most predictive of 6-month mortality in the development cohort. Retained variables were incorporated into a multivariable logistic regression model to derive the CARDIO-PAL score, the performance of which was assessed in the holdout validation cohort. Results: Characteristics were similar between the development (n = 2036) and validation (n = 508) cohorts, with 6-month mortality rates of 29% and 31%, respectively. 8 candidate variables were retained: age (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.01), PPSv2 (aOR 2.08), systolic blood pressure (aOR 1.14), discontinued use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin II receptor blocker (aOR 2.58), beta-blocker (aOR 1.59), and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist (aOR 2.67), right ventricular systolic pressure (aOR 2.06), and urea (aOR 2.13). The CARDIO-PAL score demonstrated good discrimination, with an area under the curve of 0.80 (95% confidence interval 0.75 - 0.84) and good calibration (slope 0.84, intercept -0.04). 6-month mortality across low, intermediate, and high-risk groups was 2%, 15%, and 54%, respectively. Conclusion: The CARDIO-PAL score is a novel tool to predict 6-month mortality in HF inpatients. A collaborative approach integrating CARDIO-PAL with other prognostic scores and serial clinical assessments has the potential to promote patient-centered care and improve referral to palliative care programs.
Hammad, W. A.; Hammad, A. A. I.
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Preoperative anaemia is common in adults undergoing cardiac surgery and may identify patients at increased perioperative risk. This systematic review and meta-analysis synthesised contemporary observational evidence in accordance with PRISMA 2020. Five databases were searched for peer-reviewed English language studies published from 2017 to July 2026. Random effects meta-analyses used restricted maximum likelihood estimation with Hartung-Knapp confidence intervals; crude exact count estimates were synthesised primarily and adjusted estimates separately. Fourteen observational cohort studies involving 74,571 adults, including 17,349 (23.3%) with anaemia, were included. Preoperative anaemia was associated with red cell transfusion (OR, 3.66; 95% CI, 2.14-6.24), acute kidney injury or renal failure (OR, 2.43; 95% CI, 1.84-3.21), early mortality (OR, 2.11; 95% CI, 1.40-3.17), and postoperative infection (OR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.21-1.82), but not postoperative stroke (OR, 1.16; 95% CI, 0.43-3.17). Certainty was low for renal outcomes and very low for the other outcomes. Preoperative anaemia is an important perioperative risk marker, particularly for transfusion and renal complications, although causality cannot be established.
Vaccarino, V.; She, H.; Elon, L.; Lewis, T. T.; Ko, Y.-A.; murrah, n. V.; Shallenberger, L.; Roberts, T.; Stefanos, L.; Medina Inojosa, J. R.; Harris, K. A.; Ahmed, T.; Razavi, A. C.; Bremner, J. D.; Raggi, P.; Quyyumi, A. A.; Shah, A. J.
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Background. Information is lacking about everyday psychological states of individuals with a recent myocardial infarction (MI) and whether they influence outcomes. We investigated real world psychological experiences and their association with subsequent cardiovascular events in survivors of an MI. Methods. We studied 287 individuals [≤] 60 years of age within 8 months from an MI. At the baseline visit, we assessed sociodemographic and clinical factors, and administered a battery of psychological scales of depression, anxiety, anger, perceived stress and social support. Participants underwent a 7-day home monitoring of mood and stress using ecological momentary assessments, and a momentary negative affect (MNA) score, integrating daily mean ratings of sadness, anxiety, anger, distress and loneliness, was calculated. Participants were followed for a median time of 28 months. The study endpoint was a composite index of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including cardiovascular death, nonfatal MI, stroke or hospitalizations for heart failure. Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for sociodemographic and clinical factors. Results. The mean age of the sample was 51 years, and 43% of participants were women. Each standard deviation increase in MNA was significantly associated with a 60% increased risk of MACE (95% confidence interval (CI), 20% to 100%), irrespective of adjustment for sociodemographic factors and clinical characteristics. The association was similar in women and men. Momentary positive mood and momentary perceived stress were not associated with MACE. The MNA score showed a larger independent contribution to MACE compared to the combined battery of baseline psychological assessments and the association was independent of baseline history of depression. Conclusion. Among individuals after MI, moment-to-moment negative affect during one week of monitoring in daily life is a powerful predictor of subsequent cardiovascular events. A prospective evaluation of negative mood during everyday living could represent a novel strategy to uncover residual risk after MI.
Hung, Y.-H.; Tsai, C.-H.; Kao, T.-W.; Wu, Y.-W.; Yu, W.-C.; Carigi, S.; Sperry, B. W.; Perlini, S.; Lin, Y.-H.
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Background Several disease-modifying agents for transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM) have been investigated, but differences in trial design and background stabilizer use complicate interpretation of their efficacy. This meta-analysis assessed their efficacy overall and by background stabilizer use. Methods PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were searched through September 2026 for phase III randomized, placebo-controlled trials of disease-modifying therapy in ATTR-CM. Primary endpoints were all-cause mortality, 6-minute walk distance (6MWD), Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire-Overall Summary (KCCQ-OS) score, and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), pooled with a random-effects model. Treatment effects were compared between the monotherapy and baseline stabilizer strata using a mixed-effects model. Results Five trials (ATTR-ACT, APOLLO-B, ATTRibute-CM, HELIOS-B, CARDIO-TTRansform; N=3497) were included. Disease-modifying therapy reduced all-cause mortality (risk ratio, 0.76; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.66-0.87; I2=0%) and improved 6MWD (pooled standardized mean difference [SMD], 0.43; 95% CI, 0.20-0.67), KCCQ-OS score (SMD, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.19-0.55), and NT-proBNP (SMD, -0.53; 95% CI, -0.89 to -0.18). The mortality benefit was similar whether therapy was given alone or added to a background stabilizer (pooled risk ratio, 0.77 vs. 0.71; P for interaction = 0.59), but treatment effects on 6MWD (pooled SMD, 0.49 vs. 0.14), KCCQ-OS score (0.44 vs. 0.07), and NT-proBNP (-0.65 vs. -0.13) were smaller among patients receiving a background stabilizer (P for interaction = 0.012, <0.001, and 0.029, respectively). Conclusion Disease-modifying treatments reduced all-cause mortality and favored functional capacity, health status, and NT-proBNP outcomes in patients with ATTR-CM. Exploratory subgroup analyses showed smaller treatment effects on 6MWD, KCCQ-OS score, and NT-proBNP among patients receiving a background stabilizer, with no statistically significant difference in the mortality effect according to baseline stabilizer use.
Kubiak, A.; Haji Boloori, F.; Powers, N.; Wu, Z.; Tran, P.; Osikoya, O.
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BACKGROUND: Existing models for discharge to long-term institutional care after stroke are developed within single health systems and pool to an area under the curve near 0.80, but none is accompanied by an estimate of how much of the outcome is a property of the health system rather than the patient. METHODS: Secondary analysis of the International Stroke Trial, a randomised trial in 19,435 patients with suspected acute ischaemic stroke recruited in 1991-1996 across 36 countries. Among 14,885 survivors to six months with residence recorded, we developed and internally validated a logistic prognostic model for residential or nursing-home residence using 17 admission-day terms, and compared it against a pre-specified benchmark of age and stroke syndrome alone. Between-country variation was estimated by a method-of-moments decomposition with a cluster bootstrap. RESULTS: Institutional residence was recorded for 1,984 of 14,885 survivors (13.3%); the model was fitted on 14,121 patients containing 1,935 events. In 10-fold cross-validation with the whole procedure refitted per fold, the out-of-fold c-statistic was 0.789, calibration slope 0.987, calibration-in-the-large 0.1371 predicted against 0.1370 observed, and Brier score 0.1013. A benchmark of age and stroke syndrome alone reached an optimism-corrected 0.774 against 0.790 for the full model, a corrected difference of 0.0160. Between-country variation gave an intraclass correlation of 0.0409 (0.0191 to 0.0673), and in leave-one-country-out validation the c-statistic ranged from 0.635 to 0.823 across the 14 countries with enough events to estimate it. CONCLUSIONS: Institutional residence after stroke can be stratified at admission with discrimination comparable to existing models and calibration that holds in unseen patients, but almost all of the signal is carried by age and stroke syndrome. Performance varies substantially between countries, pointing to placement systems as the limit on what a pooled model can do.
Oddleifson, D. A.; Zu, J.; Wadhera, R.
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The COVID-19 pandemic led to significant disruptions in cardiovascular care and reductions in physical activity, but little is known about how exercise patterns changed after this period. This study assessed changes in weekly aerobic and strength training activity between 2020 and 2022 amongst adults aged 18 years or older who reported one or more cardiovascular diseases or risk factors. This study used National Health Interview Survey data from 2020 and 2022. Adjusted differences for moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) were calculated using a linear regression model and for strength sessions using a Poisson regression, adjusting for sex and age. Changes in these outcomes were then stratified by age and sex subgroups. The weighted study population included 182,783,008 (standard error, +/-3,334,337) adults in 2020 and 185,388,060 (SE, +/-3,285,161) adults in 2022. Between 2020 and 2022, the overall weekly MVPA increased from 244.2 (SE, +/-4.5) minutes to 266.3 (SE, +/-5.7) minutes (adjusted difference, +22.1 [SE, +/-6.92] minutes). There were no statistically significant changes in the number of strength session per week overall or among sex and age subgroups. Across sex and age subgroups, increases in weekly MVPA were entirely concentrated among males and younger adults. The recovery from pandemic era reductions in aerobic and strength exercise training was uneven amongst demographic subgroups, which aligns with concurrent persistent disruptions in cardiovascular care.
Gurram, S.; MP, V.; Avula, S. T.; Subramanian, V.; Natarajan, H. A.; Byreddy, H.; Palakodeti, S.
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BackgroundMacitentan is a dual endothelin receptor antagonist used in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and has also been studied in other forms of pulmonary hypertension (PH). Evidence across PH phenotypes has been heterogeneous. This study aims to evaluate the efficacy and safety of macitentan compared with concurrent control therapies across PH phenotypes and to explore whether treatment effects differ according to PH classification. MethodsPubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane database were searched from inception through June 2026. Randomized and non-randomized comparative studies of patients with PH receiving macitentan were eligible. Prespecified efficacy outcomes were 6-minute walk distance (6MWD), pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR), mean pulmonary arterial pressure (mPAP), and cardiac index; prespecified safety outcomes included mortality and adverse events. Random-effects meta-analyses were performed using mean differences (MDs) for continuous outcomes and risk ratios (RRs) for dichotomous outcomes. ResultsFourteen studies met the eligibility criteria. Macitentan was associated with a greater reduction in PVR (MD, -134.50 dyn.s.cm; 95% CI, -226.10 to -42.86) and an increase in cardiac index (MD, 0.44 L/min/m; 95% CI, 0.22 to 0.67). No statistically significant difference was observed for 6MWD (MD, 5.04 m; 95% CI, -15.06 to 25.14) or mPAP (MD, -2.70 mmHg; 95% CI, -6.46 to 1.05). In pooled safety analyses, mortality was lower and risks of anemia, peripheral edema, and discontinuation due to adverse events were higher with macitentan. Heterogeneity and the small number of studies within several phenotype-specific analyses limited the precision of subgroup findings. ConclusionsMacitentan-containing therapy was associated with favorable changes in selected hemodynamic outcomes but not with a statistically significant improvement in 6MWD or mPAP. The safety findings were characterized by higher risks of anemia, peripheral edema, and treatment discontinuation. These results should be interpreted in the context of differences in PH phenotype, dose, comparator, study design, and outcome measurement.
Nourian, S.; Jalalian Rad, K.; Ghasemi, M.; Mosavi Mirkalaie, M.; Tayebi, N.; Ashrafi, M. M.; Nourallahzadeh, M. H.; Norouzi, A. R.
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Background: The systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) is a routinely available blood-derived marker with potential prognostic relevance after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). We evaluated associations between preoperative SII and postoperative outcomes. Methods: PubMed, Embase, Scopus and Web of Science were searched to 1 October 2026, with supplementary searches through 14 October 2026. Peer-reviewed observational studies evaluating preoperative SII in adults undergoing CABG were eligible. Methodological quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Compatible categorical associations and exploratory adjusted continuous mortality effects were pooled separately using restricted maximum-likelihood random-effects models; other findings were summarized descriptively. Results: Thirty-one reports were included, with an aggregate sample of 30,976 and possible cohort overlap; five contributed to meta-analysis. Two off-pump cohorts comprising 1,378 patients and 180 atrial-fibrillation events yielded an imprecise crude association with postoperative atrial fibrillation (OR 1.60, 95%CI 0.53-4.82; I2=68%). An exploratory crude synthesis indicated greater intra-aortic balloon pump use with higher SII (OR 2.45, 95%CI 1.16-5.18; I2=51%). Two cohorts with differing follow-up yielded an exploratory adjusted mortality HR of 1.11 (95% Wald CI 1.05-1.18) per study-specific SD increase in log-SII. In one 624-patient cohort, high SII was associated with postoperative acute kidney injury after adjustment (OR 3.35, 95% CI 2.25-4.97).Apparent atrial-fibrillation discrimination varied (AUC 0.587-0.946). Conclusions: Preoperative SII showed associations with selected adverse outcomes after CABG, supporting further evaluation as an accessible prognostic marker. Its incremental value beyond established clinical risk models requires validation. Keywords: Systemic immune-inflammation index; Coronary artery bypass grafting; Atrial fibrillation; Prognosis; Systematic review
Chen, K.; Zhang, R.; Rao, X.; Wu, J.; Yuan, H.
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Background: Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) has emerged as a prognostic biomarker in patients with non-ST-segment-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS). Our study evaluated the temporal evolution of GDF-15 in the acute phase and its association with recurrent ischemic events. Methods: Serum samples were collected from patients with NSTE-ACS at admission and at 1 and 3 hours after admission. GDF-15 levels, along with other prognostic biomarkers, NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT, were measured. Spearman rank-correlation coefficients and linear regression models were used to identify the variables associated with GDF-15 levels at admission and with their temporal changes. Associations between GDF-15 and clinical outcomes were evaluated using Cox proportional hazards models. To assess incremental prognostic value, the areas under the curve (AUC) were calculated for each model. Results: GDF-15 levels showed a slight increasing trend within 3 hours of admission. The 1-hour change in GDF-15 was correlated with hs-cTnT changes. Increased 1-hour GDF-15 levels, compared with the admission levels, were associated with a higher risk of recurrent ischemic events during the 1-year follow-up (1.9% vs. 17.5%, P =0.019) and were an independent predictor after adjusting for established clinical variables and biomarkers (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.71 (1.28 to 228.75), P =0.03). Furthermore, serial measurements of GDF-15 provided additional prognostic information beyond traditional risk factors. Conclusions: Serial measurements of GDF-15 of NSTE-ACS patients provided independent and incremental prognostic value for predicting recurrent ischemic events. These findings support the potential utility of GDF-15 as a dynamic biomarker for early risk stratification in the acute management of NSTE-ACS.
Alakhdar, A.; Washburn, N.; Pocivavsek, L.; Bohr, N. L.
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Background: Hypertension is a major risk factor for type B aortic dissections and rupture, with guidelines recommending systolic blood pressure (SBP) control below 130 mmHg to improve outcomes. While post-TEVAR blood pressure is often managed with a focus on mean SBP, little is known about temporal hemodynamic patterns and their association with surgical success. This study investigates blood pressure and heart rate (HR) time-series metrics within 24 hours post-TEVAR and their predictive potential for outcomes. Methods: Blood pressure (n = 560) and HR (n = 680) time-series data from 31 patients were analyzed alongside preoperative aortic geometry metrics. Exploratory data analysis identified correlations between BP variability and outcomes. Stationarity tests were performed on time-series data to assess statistical properties. Logistic regression models incorporating hemodynamic metrics, along with CT-derived features, were used to predict TEVAR outcomes. Results: Successful outcomes correlated with greater diastolic blood pressure variability and strictly stationary SBP. Logistic regression models combining these metrics along with heart rate standard deviation and preoperative aortic geometry achieved 96.67% 5-fold cross-validation accuracy in predicting outcomes. Conclusion: Post-TEVAR behaviors of hemodynamic variables are critical predictors of TEVAR success, with higher DBP standard deviation and strict stationarity of SBP significantly associated with favorable outcomes. These findings highlight the importance of hemodynamic variability and stationarity in optimizing post-TEVAR patient care.
Al-Nusair, M.; Maini, A.; Khurana, S.; Al-Nusair, J.
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Background: Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP1-RA) improve cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and obesity, and more recently they have been shown to be beneficial in patients with obesity and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. Their role in patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and T2D remains underexplored. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using data pooled from the TriNetX platform. Patients with T2D and HFrEF who were initiated on GLP1-RA therapy during the period May-13-2026 to Jun-6-2026 were identified. One:one propensity-score matching with controls was performed. Time-to-event analysis was conducted to compare the one-year incidences of all-cause mortality and a primary composite outcome of acute myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke and acute heart failure, between the two matched-cohorts. Secondary outcomes included individual components of the primary composite outcome and any inhospital encounter. Results: Two well-matched cohorts with 38,879 patients in each were formed. Patients treated with GLP1-RAs had a lower incidence of all-cause mortality (4.2% vs. 12%; absolute risk difference [ARD] -7.8, 95% CI -8.17 to -7.41; HR 0.4, 95% CI 0.34[boxh]0.38) and the primary composite outcome (32.5% vs. 48.3%; ARD -15.8, 95% CI -16.47 to -15.11; HR 0.6, 95% CI 0.57[boxh]0.60) compared to the control group. The GLP1-RA group were also at lower risk of all secondary outcomes compared to the control group. Conclusion: In a real-world study, GLP1-RA therapy was associated with lower risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with T2D and HFrEF.